Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.144970 2.237953 2.334147 2.441376 2.557905 2.681092 2.821665
2025-11-16 1.939001 2.062305 2.194499 2.347675 2.521454 2.713929 2.945295
2025-11-23 1.819507 1.965155 2.125888 2.318266 2.544801 2.806450 3.136717
2025-11-30 1.735128 1.898259 2.082756 2.309889 2.586430 2.918497 3.357908
2025-12-07 1.649786 1.822992 2.022689 2.274156 2.588844 2.979371 3.518051
2025-12-14 1.559453 1.735784 1.941986 2.206079 2.543576 2.973351 3.586395
2025-12-21 1.525174 1.712681 1.935779 2.227574 2.610496 3.114683 3.866893
2025-12-28 1.496066 1.693563 1.932308 2.250757 2.679369 3.262511 4.173182
2026-01-04 1.431601 1.627700 1.866827 2.189277 2.629515 3.239876 4.219237
2026-01-11 1.400310 1.601569 1.849903 2.189809 2.663187 3.337274 4.462416
2026-01-18 1.381322 1.589777 1.850246 2.212557 2.728255 3.484972 4.807289
2026-01-25 1.329652 1.534412 1.791652 2.151980 2.669788 3.439858 4.814130
2026-02-01 1.272238 1.473448 1.728075 2.088144 2.612405 3.406708 4.867096
2026-02-08 1.224393 1.423593 1.677688 2.040776 2.577199 3.407195 4.986867
2026-02-15 1.193977 1.395354 1.654923 2.031013 2.597663 3.500108 5.304057
2026-02-22 1.169532 1.373947 1.640274 2.031752 2.633934 3.623360 5.713590
2026-03-01 1.137919 1.341857 1.609637 2.007424 2.628800 3.674232 5.981321
2026-03-08 1.098657 1.298318 1.561637 1.955153 2.575328 3.633265 6.029941
2026-03-15 1.085810 1.289708 1.561484 1.973617 2.637443 3.809822 6.653348
2026-03-22 1.074030 1.282004 1.562072 1.992898 2.702064 3.999800 7.388873
2026-03-29 1.041253 1.244668 1.519423 1.943869 2.647081 3.947914 7.425498
2026-04-05 1.025727 1.230535 1.509274 1.944505 2.677627 4.072322 8.042165
2026-04-12 1.016458 1.224670 1.510625 1.962937 2.740484 4.272779 9.014779